Idaho governor race odds
Kalshi vs Polymarket · updated Nov 4, 12:01 AM ET
Republicans (Brad Little) to win the Idaho governor race: Kalshi 98.95¢, Polymarket US 99¢. The exchanges agree within about a cent. A price of 67¢ means the market implies roughly a 67% chance; it is a price, not a forecast.
Idaho governor betting odds by venue
| Venue | Republicans win | Odds | Bid | Ask | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 98.95¢ | -9424 | 98¢ | 99.9¢ | $26k |
| Polymarket US | 99¢ | -9900 | 99¢ | — | $45k |
Each row prices the outcome it names, in cents; 50¢ is a coin flip. Volume is in each venue’s own units. Full venue comparison
Price history
Last 90 days, Republicans win. Kalshi solid, Polymarket dashed. A break in a line is a gap in the record, not a move.
Common questions
What are the odds in the Idaho governor race?
Republicans (Brad Little) to win the Idaho governor race: Kalshi 98.95¢, Polymarket US 99¢. The exchanges agree within about a cent. A price of 67¢ means the market implies roughly a 67% chance; it is a price, not a forecast.
Why do Kalshi and Polymarket show different prices for the same race?
Each exchange is its own order book with its own traders, fees and rules. A gap of a cent or two is ordinary; a larger gap can come from a thin book or from a settlement-rule difference, which is why each venue links to its own contract.
Is the price a forecast?
No. It is what the best order or last trade implies at that venue. ThinBlimp shows both venues side by side and does not take wagers or give advice.
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