Nebraska governor race odds
Kalshi vs Polymarket · updated Oct 20, 1:01 AM ET
Republicans (Jim Pillen) to win the Nebraska governor race: Kalshi 88.5¢, Polymarket US 90.5¢, Polymarket 89.5¢. The exchanges are 2¢ apart. A price of 67¢ means the market implies roughly a 67% chance; it is a price, not a forecast.
Nebraska governor betting odds by venue
| Venue | Republicans win | Odds | Bid | Ask | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 88.5¢ | -770 | 88¢ | 89¢ | $37k |
| Polymarket US | 90.5¢ | -953 | 90¢ | 91¢ | $45k |
| Polymarket | 89.5¢ | -852 | 89¢ | 90¢ | $16k |
Each row prices the outcome it names, in cents; 50¢ is a coin flip. Volume is in each venue’s own units. Full venue comparison
Price history
Last 90 days, Republicans win. Kalshi solid, Polymarket dashed. A break in a line is a gap in the record, not a move.
Polls beside the prices
| Pollster | Fieldwork ends | Sample | Result | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Public Affairs | 2026-10-05 | 800 LV | Jim Pillen 44 · Lynne Walz 40 · Brett Lindstrom 7 | +4 |
Polls: VoteHub (CC BY 4.0). A poll is a separate reading of the same race; the two can differ with neither being wrong.
Common questions
What are the odds in the Nebraska governor race?
Republicans (Jim Pillen) to win the Nebraska governor race: Kalshi 88.5¢, Polymarket US 90.5¢, Polymarket 89.5¢. The exchanges are 2¢ apart. A price of 67¢ means the market implies roughly a 67% chance; it is a price, not a forecast.
Why do Kalshi and Polymarket show different prices for the same race?
Each exchange is its own order book with its own traders, fees and rules. A gap of a cent or two is ordinary; a larger gap can come from a thin book or from a settlement-rule difference, which is why each venue links to its own contract.
Is the price a forecast?
No. It is what the best order or last trade implies at that venue. ThinBlimp shows both venues side by side and does not take wagers or give advice.
Open it in the terminal
Live card for this race — both venues streaming, the order book and related news.