South Carolina governor race odds
Kalshi vs Polymarket · updated Oct 30, 9:01 AM ET
Republicans (Alan Wilson) to win the South Carolina governor race: Kalshi 92.55¢, Polymarket US 92.5¢, Polymarket 92.65¢. The exchanges agree within about a cent. A price of 67¢ means the market implies roughly a 67% chance; it is a price, not a forecast.
South Carolina governor betting odds by venue
| Venue | Republicans win | Odds | Bid | Ask | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 92.55¢ | -1242 | 92.5¢ | 92.6¢ | $45k |
| Polymarket US | 92.5¢ | -1233 | 92¢ | 93¢ | $23k |
| Polymarket | 92.65¢ | -1261 | 91.6¢ | 93.7¢ | $44k |
Each row prices the outcome it names, in cents; 50¢ is a coin flip. Volume is in each venue’s own units. Full venue comparison
Price history
Last 90 days, Republicans win. Kalshi solid, Polymarket dashed. A break in a line is a gap in the record, not a move.
Polls beside the prices
| Pollster | Fieldwork ends | Sample | Result | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research | 2026-10-25 | 895 LV | Alan Wilson 51 · Jermaine Johnson 41 · Michael Addison 1 | +10 |
| Trafalgar Group | 2026-10-18 | 1,095 LV | Alan Wilson 52.5 · Jermaine Johnson 36.5 · Michael Addison 4.2 | +16 |
Polls: VoteHub (CC BY 4.0). A poll is a separate reading of the same race; the two can differ with neither being wrong.
Common questions
What are the odds in the South Carolina governor race?
Republicans (Alan Wilson) to win the South Carolina governor race: Kalshi 92.55¢, Polymarket US 92.5¢, Polymarket 92.65¢. The exchanges agree within about a cent. A price of 67¢ means the market implies roughly a 67% chance; it is a price, not a forecast.
Why do Kalshi and Polymarket show different prices for the same race?
Each exchange is its own order book with its own traders, fees and rules. A gap of a cent or two is ordinary; a larger gap can come from a thin book or from a settlement-rule difference, which is why each venue links to its own contract.
Is the price a forecast?
No. It is what the best order or last trade implies at that venue. ThinBlimp shows both venues side by side and does not take wagers or give advice.
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