Arkansas governor race: 2026 result and final odds
Kalshi vs Polymarket · last price recorded Nov 4, 12:30 AM ET
Kalshi and Polymarket US settled Yes on Republicans (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) winning the Arkansas governor race. A Yes contract settles at 100¢, a No at 0¢. Still trading on Polymarket at 99.95¢ for Republicans.
Final odds by venue
| Venue | Status | Last price | Odds | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | Settled Yes | 99.4¢ | -16567 | $23k |
| Polymarket US | Settled Yes | 99¢ | -9900 | $75k |
| Polymarket | Trading | 99.95¢ | -199900 | $17k |
Last price is the final price we recorded before trading stopped, not the settlement. A settled contract pays 100¢ for Yes and 0¢ for No. Volume is in each venue’s own units.
Price history
Last 90 days, Republicans win. Kalshi solid, Polymarket dashed. A break in a line is a gap in the record, not a move.
Common questions
Who won the Arkansas governor race on Kalshi and Polymarket?
Kalshi and Polymarket US settled Yes on Republicans (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) winning the Arkansas governor race. A Yes contract settles at 100¢, a No at 0¢. Still trading on Polymarket at 99.95¢ for Republicans.
What were the last prices before the market closed?
Republicans (Sarah Huckabee Sanders): Kalshi 99.4¢, Polymarket US 99¢, Polymarket 99.95¢, the last price we recorded on each venue.
Is the price a forecast?
No. It is what the best order or last trade implied at that venue. ThinBlimp shows both venues side by side and does not take wagers or give advice.