Georgia governor race odds
Kalshi vs Polymarket · updated Oct 20, 1:00 AM ET
Republicans (Rick Jackson) to win the Georgia governor race: Kalshi 50.5¢, Polymarket US 49.5¢, Polymarket 48.5¢. The exchanges are 1¢ apart. A price of 67¢ means the market implies roughly a 67% chance; it is a price, not a forecast.
Georgia governor betting odds by venue
| Venue | Republicans win | Odds | Bid | Ask | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 50.5¢ | -102 | 50¢ | 51¢ | $861k |
| Polymarket US | 49.5¢ | +102 | 49¢ | 50¢ | $6.2M |
| Polymarket | 48.5¢ | +106 | 48¢ | 49¢ | $89k |
Each row prices the outcome it names, in cents; 50¢ is a coin flip. Volume is in each venue’s own units. Full venue comparison
Price history
Last 90 days, Republicans win. Kalshi solid, Polymarket dashed. A break in a line is a gap in the record, not a move.
Polls beside the prices
| Pollster | Fieldwork ends | Sample | Result | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage | 2026-10-13 | 800 LV | Rick Jackson 49 · Keisha Lance Bottoms 47 | +2 |
| Wedgewood Polls | 2026-10-03 | 600 LV | Rick Jackson 51 · Keisha Lance Bottoms 49 | +2 |
| Big Data Poll | 2026-09-23 | 678 LV | Rick Jackson 50.5 · Keisha Lance Bottoms 49.5 | +1 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2026-09-23 | 1,200 LV | Rick Jackson 48 · Keisha Lance Bottoms 46 | +2 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2026-08-17 | 800 LV | Rick Jackson 46.3 · Keisha Lance Bottoms 46.2 | +0.1 |
Polls: VoteHub (CC BY 4.0). A poll is a separate reading of the same race; the two can differ with neither being wrong.
Common questions
What are the odds in the Georgia governor race?
Republicans (Rick Jackson) to win the Georgia governor race: Kalshi 50.5¢, Polymarket US 49.5¢, Polymarket 48.5¢. The exchanges are 1¢ apart. A price of 67¢ means the market implies roughly a 67% chance; it is a price, not a forecast.
Why do Kalshi and Polymarket show different prices for the same race?
Each exchange is its own order book with its own traders, fees and rules. A gap of a cent or two is ordinary; a larger gap can come from a thin book or from a settlement-rule difference, which is why each venue links to its own contract.
Is the price a forecast?
No. It is what the best order or last trade implies at that venue. ThinBlimp shows both venues side by side and does not take wagers or give advice.
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