South Dakota governor race odds
Kalshi vs Polymarket · updated Oct 20, 1:00 AM ET
Republicans (Larry Rhoden) to win the South Dakota governor race: Kalshi 97.65¢, Polymarket US 98.5¢, Polymarket 98¢. The exchanges agree within about a cent. A price of 67¢ means the market implies roughly a 67% chance; it is a price, not a forecast.
South Dakota governor betting odds by venue
| Venue | Republicans win | Odds | Bid | Ask | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 97.65¢ | -4155 | 97.4¢ | 97.9¢ | $5k |
| Polymarket US | 98.5¢ | -6567 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $83k |
| Polymarket | 98¢ | -4900 | 97.4¢ | 98.6¢ | $9k |
Each row prices the outcome it names, in cents; 50¢ is a coin flip. Volume is in each venue’s own units. Full venue comparison
Price history
Last 90 days, Republicans win. Kalshi solid, Polymarket dashed. A break in a line is a gap in the record, not a move.
Common questions
What are the odds in the South Dakota governor race?
Republicans (Larry Rhoden) to win the South Dakota governor race: Kalshi 97.65¢, Polymarket US 98.5¢, Polymarket 98¢. The exchanges agree within about a cent. A price of 67¢ means the market implies roughly a 67% chance; it is a price, not a forecast.
Why do Kalshi and Polymarket show different prices for the same race?
Each exchange is its own order book with its own traders, fees and rules. A gap of a cent or two is ordinary; a larger gap can come from a thin book or from a settlement-rule difference, which is why each venue links to its own contract.
Is the price a forecast?
No. It is what the best order or last trade implies at that venue. ThinBlimp shows both venues side by side and does not take wagers or give advice.
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