Kentucky Senate race odds
Kalshi vs Polymarket · updated Oct 20, 1:00 AM ET
Republicans (Andy Barr) to win the Kentucky Senate race: Kalshi 96.65¢, Polymarket US 95.5¢, Polymarket 96.85¢. The exchanges are 1.15¢ apart. A price of 67¢ means the market implies roughly a 67% chance; it is a price, not a forecast.
Kentucky Senate betting odds by venue
| Venue | Republicans win | Odds | Bid | Ask | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 96.65¢ | -2885 | 96.6¢ | 96.7¢ | $94k |
| Polymarket US | 95.5¢ | -2122 | 95¢ | 96¢ | $78k |
| Polymarket | 96.85¢ | -3075 | 96.8¢ | 96.9¢ | $29k |
Each row prices the outcome it names, in cents; 50¢ is a coin flip. Volume is in each venue’s own units. Full venue comparison
Price history
Last 90 days, Republicans win. Kalshi solid, Polymarket dashed. A break in a line is a gap in the record, not a move.
Common questions
What are the odds in the Kentucky Senate race?
Republicans (Andy Barr) to win the Kentucky Senate race: Kalshi 96.65¢, Polymarket US 95.5¢, Polymarket 96.85¢. The exchanges are 1.15¢ apart. A price of 67¢ means the market implies roughly a 67% chance; it is a price, not a forecast.
Why do Kalshi and Polymarket show different prices for the same race?
Each exchange is its own order book with its own traders, fees and rules. A gap of a cent or two is ordinary; a larger gap can come from a thin book or from a settlement-rule difference, which is why each venue links to its own contract.
Is the price a forecast?
No. It is what the best order or last trade implies at that venue. ThinBlimp shows both venues side by side and does not take wagers or give advice.
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