Louisiana Senate Election Winner: Jamie Davis (D)

Politics · closes Jan 14, 7:00 PM ET

Kalshi vs Polymarket US on the same question. The venues agree within the tick. Prices are each venue’s own; confirm at the venue before acting.

Prices by venue

VenueYESOddsBidAskVolumeConfirmed
Kalshi10.5¢+85210¢11¢$236kNov 1, 7:01 AM ET
Polymarket US10.5¢+85210¢11¢$77kNov 1, 7:15 AM ET

0¢cross-venue gap on YES. Two quotes differ only when each venue’s book rules out the other’s price; a one-sided or wide book reads as a bound, not a price.

Price history

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Aug 3Sep 2Oct 2Nov 1Kalshi 10.5¢Polymarket US 10.5¢
KalshiPolymarket US

Last 90 days, daily closes beyond the raw week. Kalshi solid, Polymarket dashed. A break in a line is a gap in the record, not a move.

How it settles

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from Louisiana. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Decision Desk HQ. Any references to Decision Desk HQ or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Decision Desk HQ and Polymarket US.

Each venue settles on its own rules; the text above is the primary venue’s. A gap can be a rules difference, not a mispricing.

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