Will Democrats win the Senate race in North Carolina? — Roy Cooper
Politics · closes Jan 4, 10:00 AM ET
Kalshi vs Polymarket US on the same question. Kalshi prices YES at 95.9¢, Polymarket US at 95.5¢ — a 0.4¢ gap. Prices are each venue’s own; confirm at the venue before acting.
Prices by venue
| Venue | YES | Odds | Bid | Ask | Volume | Confirmed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 95.9¢ | -2339 | 95.8¢ | 96¢ | $1.6M | Oct 20, 2:00 AM ET |
| Polymarket US | 95.5¢ | -2122 | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.3M | Oct 20, 1:15 AM ET |
0.4¢cross-venue gap on YES. Two quotes differ only when each venue’s book rules out the other’s price; a one-sided or wide book reads as a bound, not a price.
Price history
Last 90 days, daily closes beyond the raw week. Kalshi solid, Polymarket dashed. A break in a line is a gap in the record, not a move.
How it settles
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of North Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Each venue settles on its own rules; the text above is the primary venue’s. A gap can be a rules difference, not a mispricing.
Open it in the terminal
Live card for this market — both venues streaming, the order book, the arbitrage calculator and related news.