Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Minnesota — Amy Klobuchar

Politics · closes Jan 7, 10:00 AM ET

Kalshi vs Polymarket US on the same question. Kalshi prices YES at 94.95¢, Polymarket US at 94.5¢ — a 0.45¢ gap. Prices are each venue’s own; confirm at the venue before acting.

Prices by venue

VenueYESOddsBidAskVolumeConfirmed
Kalshi94.95¢-188094.7¢95.2¢$210kOct 20, 2:00 AM ET
Polymarket US94.5¢-171894¢95¢$253kOct 20, 1:15 AM ET

0.45¢cross-venue gap on YES. Two quotes differ only when each venue’s book rules out the other’s price; a one-sided or wide book reads as a bound, not a price.

Price history

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Jul 22Aug 21Sep 20Oct 20Kalshi 95¢Polymarket US 94.5¢
KalshiPolymarket US

Last 90 days, daily closes beyond the raw week. Kalshi solid, Polymarket dashed. A break in a line is a gap in the record, not a move.

How it settles

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Minnesota pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Each venue settles on its own rules; the text above is the primary venue’s. A gap can be a rules difference, not a mispricing.

Open it in the terminal

Live card for this market — both venues streaming, the order book, the arbitrage calculator and related news.

ThinBlimp does not accept wagers. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Our charts are free to use with credit to thinblimp.com. Guides · Legal · hello@thinblimp.com

ThinBlimp